Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.050983e-03 0.001198 0.001346 0.001505 0.001673 0.001842 0.002026
2025-08-31 8.289962e-04 0.001039 0.001258 0.001501 0.001762 0.002032 0.002331
2025-09-07 6.760521e-04 0.000932 0.001210 0.001526 0.001872 0.002235 0.002643
2025-09-14 5.149212e-04 0.000799 0.001118 0.001493 0.001911 0.002357 0.002864
2025-09-21 4.188278e-04 0.000729 0.001089 0.001522 0.002013 0.002543 0.003150
2025-09-28 3.590499e-04 0.000694 0.001096 0.001587 0.002152 0.002767 0.003476
2025-10-05 2.777511e-04 0.000622 0.001052 0.001589 0.002215 0.002904 0.003704
2025-10-12 2.205651e-04 0.000573 0.001031 0.001615 0.002303 0.003066 0.003957
2025-10-19 1.551370e-04 0.000502 0.000976 0.001595 0.002335 0.003162 0.004134
2025-10-26 1.078953e-04 0.000448 0.000939 0.001593 0.002385 0.003276 0.004329
2025-11-02 6.455958e-05 0.000388 0.000888 0.001571 0.002408 0.003358 0.004486
2025-11-09 3.178684e-05 0.000333 0.000839 0.001547 0.002427 0.003433 0.004634
2025-11-16 4.084757e-07 0.000237 0.000734 0.001466 0.002397 0.003476 0.004775
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000182 0.000683 0.001454 0.002452 0.003619 0.005033
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000146 0.000658 0.001474 0.002545 0.003808 0.005344
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000097 0.000595 0.001438 0.002567 0.003912 0.005558
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000074 0.000578 0.001464 0.002667 0.004107 0.005877
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000064 0.000587 0.001528 0.002813 0.004358 0.006259
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000041 0.000555 0.001529 0.002877 0.004509 0.006524
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000027 0.000540 0.001553 0.002971 0.004694 0.006829
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000010 0.000499 0.001533 0.003005 0.004806 0.007047
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000002 0.000470 0.001531 0.003061 0.004943 0.007292
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.000431 0.001509 0.003088 0.005044 0.007495